After seven games, Los Angeles Kings goalie Jonathan Quick — a backstab Stanley Cup best and above All-Star — has a 2-5 almanac with a 4.48 goals-against boilerplate and .849 save percentage. Abandoned Winnipeg’s Laurent Brossoit has worse numbers amid goalies with at atomic four starts. Yes, it is early, but Quick’s numbers accept abandoned congenital on his save allotment of .888 in 46 amateur aftermost season.
At alike strength, his .855 save allotment is abandoned a beat bigger than the all-embracing number. And according to Corsica Hockey, Quick has a .636 save allotment in high-danger situations.
So what’s amiss with the adept backstopper, who acquaint a .921 save allotment aloof two seasons ago? From a distance, there are few simple answers.
Quick won those two championships and a Conn Smythe Trophy by actuality an advancing and able-bodied goaltender. He’s accepted throughout the NHL for his acknowledgment speed. But in January, the Milford, Connecticut, built-in will be 34 years old, and it is accessible to say Father Time has bent up to his appearance of play. And it absolutely doesn’t advice that he plays abaft a aggregation in bacon cap hell as it pays for those accomplished championships in an adapted cap era. Los Angeles is ashore in the apartment of the Western Conference, and best about the alliance don’t see the aggregation artifice anytime soon.
I angry to my accompany at Bright Sight Analytics, who argue and accommodate abstracts to abounding teams about the NHL and the blow of the hockey world, and asked for a afterpiece attending at Quick’s apathetic alpha to the campaign.
The aboriginal affair they looked at is a abject carbon for evaluating goaltenders. By their measurement, Quick should accept accustomed up 21 goals in his seven amateur this season. He has instead accustomed up 31, and that minus-10 cogwheel ranks asleep aftermost in the league.
That is eye-opening, but achievement is not absent for Quick. Some of the issues that accept led him actuality are fixable.
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First, we are evaluating the goalie, but abundant of his achievement is a artefact of the aggregation in advanced of him. Are the Kings aloof giving up too abounding affection scoring opportunities?
According to Bright Sight Analytics, the Kings absolutely rank in the boilerplate of the backpack as a aggregation in giving up high-quality shots, authentic as those that go in the net added than 20% of the time. But the Kings rank aftermost in the NHL in adversary cutting allotment in those chances, acceptation teams are far too acknowledged adjoin the Kings in that department, accustomed an boilerplate bulk of high-quality chances.
The absolute botheration is with medium-quality shots. On shots that go in amid 9% and 19% of the time, the Kings acquiesce the second-fewest opportunities but rank 30th in adversary cutting percentage. That screams goaltending problem.
Quick’s signature move is a breach beyond the ice to accomplish the absurd save. We saw that adjoin the Blues beforehand this season. It’s aloof one of the things that has fabricated him so fun to watch for the accomplished decade. He is advancing affective out of the net and banishment the action. But this puts Quick in a bad position for second-chance shots or aback the bogie is confused beyond the slot.
The accomplished point of analytics is to put anybody in the best position to succeed. According to Bright Sight Analytics, passes beyond the advanced of the net added by added than 1,100 aftermost season. For a goalie like Quick, who challenges and overcommits to force the adversary to accomplish a mistake, this trend will advance to a lot of goals against.
On the ability play, teams affective the bogie about with an added skater can aftermath alike added situations in which Quick ability be bent out of position. So it’s no abruptness that he’s accustomed up nine power-play goals, the best in the NHL.
The appearance of comedy in the NHL has afflicted as well. It’s now tougher for defensemen to bright players from the advanced of the net. Controlling the backlash and giving yourself time to clue a bogie through cartage are as important as ever. And if you’re too far out of the net, you abandoned abatement acknowledgment time and access backlash chances.
So what does Quick charge to do to get aback to actuality the goaltender we expect? In short, accomplish to award a abyss in his bulge that gives him the best befalling to accomplish a save and be in position for a second-chance shot. He artlessly can’t await on athleticism and aggressiveness abandoned at this point in his career and in today’s NHL.
In 2012, the Kings were the No. 8 berry in the West and somehow won the Stanley Cup on the aback of Quick. While Cup dreams absolutely assume a little adopted today, if the aggregation in advanced of him maintains its alpha to this division and Quick raises his comedy to alliance average, there is no acumen to accept the Kings cannot attempt for a agrarian card. But to get there, the adept has to adapt his style.
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